By What Year will AGI Arrive - Poll

It's 2026 so here is the obligatory AGI poll. By what year do you predict AGI? I'll use the definition for AGI that I used in previous polls. The definition of AGI for this poll: an AI capable of learning to accomplish any intellectual task that humans or animals can perform. Alternatively, any autonomous system that surpasses human capabilities in the majority of economically valuable tasks. My last poll was December 2024. Amazingly, than a fifth of respondents though we'd have AGI by the above definition by 2025.