Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says AI is nearing the point where it can automate AI research

Import AI 455: AI systems are about to start building themselves. Jack Clark thinks there’s a ~30% chance by the end of 2027 and a ~60%+ chance by the end of 2028 that AI research becomes automated, with models eventually helping train the next generation of models themselves. He argues AI may not need genius-level creativity to self-improve. The strongest evidence is how quickly it’s moving from coding help to actual research work, including reproducing papers, building ML systems, fine-tuning models, optimizing kernels, and even speeding up model.