AI RESEARCH

Minimum Volume Conformal Sets for Multivariate Regression

arXiv CS.LG

ArXi:2503.19068v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid geometric assumptions or rely on flexible but computationally expensive approaches that do not explicitly optimize prediction set volume. We propose an optimization-driven framework based on a novel loss function that directly learns minimum-volume covering sets while ensuring valid coverage.