AI RESEARCH

YC Bench: a Live Benchmark for Forecasting Startup Outperformance in Y Combinator Batches

arXiv CS.LG

ArXi:2604.02378v1 Announce Type: new Forecasting startup success is notoriously difficult, partly because meaningful outcomes, such as exits, large funding rounds, and sustained revenue growth, are rare and can take years to materialize. As a result, signals are sparse and evaluation cycles are slow. Y Combinator batches offer a unique mitigation: each batch comprises around 200 startups, funded simultaneously, with evaluation at Day only three months later. We