AI RESEARCH

A Large-Scale Empirical Comparison of Meta-Learners and Causal Forests for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation in Marketing Uplift Modeling

arXiv CS.LG

ArXi:2604.06123v1 Announce Type: cross Estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) at the individual level is central to precision marketing, yet systematic benchmarking of uplift modeling methods at industrial scale remains limited. We present UpliftBench, an empirical evaluation of four CATE estimators: S-Learner, T-Learner, X-Learner (all with LightGBM base learners), and Causal Forest (EconML), applied to the Criteo Uplift v2.1 dataset comprising 13.98M customer records.