Optimal algorithmic complexity of inference in quantum kernel methods

ArXi:2604.15214v1 Announce Type: cross Quantum kernel methods are among the leading candidates for achieving quantum advantage in supervised learning. A key bottleneck is the cost of inference: evaluating a trained model on new data requires estimating a weighted sum $\sum_{i=1}^N \alpha_i k(x,x_i)$ of $N$ kernel values to additive precision $\varepsilon$, where $\alpha$ is the vector of trained coefficients. The standard approach estimates each term independently via sampling, yielding a query complexity of $O(N\lVert\alpha\rVert_2^2/\varepsilon^2.