AI RESEARCH

Beyond Surface Statistics: Robust Conformal Prediction for LLMs via Internal Representations

arXiv CS.AI

ArXi:2604.16217v1 Announce Type: cross Large language models are increasingly deployed in settings where reliability matters, yet output-level uncertainty signals such as token probabilities, entropy, and self-consistency can become brittle under calibration--deployment mismatch. Conformal prediction provides finite-sample validity under exchangeability, but its practical usefulness depends on the quality of the nonconformity score. We propose a conformal framework for LLM question answering that uses internal representations rather than output-facing statistics: specifically, we.