Back to the Future: The Role of Past and Future Context Predictability in Incremental Language Production

ArXi:2511.07752v3 Announce Type: replace Contextual predictability shapes how we choose and encode words in production. The effects of a word's predictability given preceding or past context are generally well-understood in both production and comprehension, but studies of naturalistic production have also revealed a poorly-understood yet robust backward predictability effect of a word given only its future context, which may be linked to future planning. Across two studies of naturalistic speech, we revisit backward predictability using improved operationalizations.