Predicting one-year clinical instability and mortality in heart failure patients using sequence modeling

ArXi:2511.16839v3 Announce Type: replace Heart failure (HF) discharge planning depends on identifying patients at risk of deterioration or death, yet accurate prediction from routinely collected electronic health records (EHRs) remains challenging. We developed and validated sequence models for three one-year prediction tasks in a Swedish HF cohort (N = 42,820): clinical instability (a rehospitalization phenotype) and mortality after the initial in-hospital HF diagnosis, and mortality after the latest hospitalization.