AI RESEARCH

ConformaDecompose: Explaining Uncertainty via Calibration Localization

arXiv CS.AI

ArXi:2604.27149v1 Announce Type: cross Conformal Prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage, but its reliance on a single global calibration threshold obscures the sources of uncertainty at the instance level. In particular, it conflates irreducible noise with uncertainty induced by heterogeneous