Learning to Compress Time-to-Control: A Reinforcement Learning Framework for Chronic Disease Management

ArXi:2605.09818v1 Announce Type: new Reinforcement learning (RL) in healthcare has had mixed results, with reward sparsity, unreliable off-policy evaluation, and deployment-simulation gap as recurring failure modes. We argue that chronic disease management is structurally a tractable RL setting than the acute-care problems the field has primarily studied, but only if the problem is formalized to exploit chronic care's properties. We propose such a formalization. The agent's objective is to compress time-to-control (TTC) under a tiered reward calibrated to the CMS ACCESS Model.