Probabilistic Prediction Markets with Intermittent Contributions

ArXi:2510.13385v3 Announce Type: replace Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative game-theoretical frameworks, we place ourselves in a general framework, based on prediction markets. There, independent agents trade forecasts of uncertain future events in exchange for rewards. We