Plug-In Classification of Drift Functions in Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks

ArXi:2602.02791v2 Announce Type: replace-cross We study supervised multiclass classification for diffusion processes, where each class is characterized by a distinct drift function and trajectories are observed at discrete times. We first derive a multidimensional Bayes rule and then construct a plug-in classifier by estimating the class-specific drifts with neural networks. Under standard regularity assumptions, we establish convergence rates for the excess misclassification risk, making explicit the contributions of drift estimation, time discretization, and dimension.