Conformal Tradeoffs: Guarantees Beyond Coverage

ArXi:2602.18045v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Deployed conformal predictors are long-lived decision infrastructure reused over finite operational windows. In practice, stakeholders care not only about marginal coverage, but also about operational quantities: how often the system commits versus defers, and what error exposure it induces when it acts. These deployment-facing quantities are not determined by coverage alone: identical calibrated thresholds can yield markedly different operational profiles depending on score geometry.