AI RESEARCH
CERES: A Probabilistic Early Warning System for Acute Food Insecurity
arXiv CS.AI
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ArXi:2603.09425v1 Announce Type: cross We present CERES (Calibrated Early-warning and Risk Estimation System), an automated probabilistic forecasting system for acute food insecurity. CERES generates 90-day ahead probability estimates of IPC Phase 3+ (Crisis), Phase 4+ (Emergency), and Phase 5 (Famine) conditions for 43 high-risk countries globally, updated weekly.