Dwarkesh Patel on the Anthropic DoW dispute

Below is the text of a blog post that Dwarkesh Patel wrote on the Anthropic DoW dispute and related topics. He has also narrated it here. By now, I’m sure you’ve heard that the Department of War has declared Anthropic a supply chain risk, because Anthropic refused to remove redlines around the use of their models for mass surveillance and for autonomous weapons. Honestly I think this situation is a warning shot. Right now, LLMs are probably not being used in mission critical ways. But within 20 years, 99% of the workforce in the military, the government, and the private sector will be AIs.