Forecasting is Not Overrated and It's Probably Funded Appropriately

(A response to post from a couple days ago: ) TL;DR: I agree with Marcus that broadly, additional forecasting funding to the tune of tens (?) of millions of dollars at this point would probably not yield a great return. However, I think the benefits of some forecasting funding have been tremendous. Whatever funding it initially took to help s like Metaculus and Manifold off the ground has had incredible