The Darwinian Honeymoon - Why I am not as impressed by human progress as I used to be

Crossposted from Substack and the EA Forum. A common argument for optimism about the future is that living conditions have improved a lot in the past few hundred years, billions of people have been lifted out of poverty, and so on. It’s a very strong, grounding piece of evidence - probably the best we have in figuring out what our foundational beliefs about the world should be. However, I now think it’s a lot less powerful than I once did.