AI SAFETY & ETHICS
Optimisation: Selective versus Predictive
LessWrong AI
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Looking over my favourite posts, I notice that many of them are making specific versions of a general claim, which is essentially: don’t confuse selective processes for predictive processes. Here, I’m going to try to make that general claim, rehash some examples in light of it, and end with a few ambient confusions I think this framework can help with, for the reader to ponder.